Weekly report · 21 to 28 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Alphabet, 21 to 28 September

Prepared September 28, 2026 · Report data

Every Alphabet forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Alphabet price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 21 to Monday 28 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 11,228 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more34.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%16.2%
  3. went 125 to 200%22.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level15.8%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.9%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.0%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.0%
  8. went under 25%8.3%
of the forecasted distance
        

11,228 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above11,228 forecasts
        
34.5%300%+
16.2%200–300%
22.3%125–200%
15.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%68,645 forecasts
        
27.5%300%+
16.3%200–300%
21.8%125–200%
17.7%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
12.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%50,037 forecasts
        
24.8%300%+
13.1%200–300%
19.3%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
13.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%42,063 forecasts
        
23.7%300%+
12.8%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
23.8%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
12.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%29,700 forecasts
        
17.6%300%+
12.0%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
27.6%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.2%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
10.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%25,583 forecasts
        
13.6%300%+
9.8%200–300%
22.6%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
10.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%22,112 forecasts
        
13.7%300%+
9.4%200–300%
22.0%125–200%
32.8%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
10.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%19,925 forecasts
        
13.9%300%+
9.0%200–300%
21.1%125–200%
33.3%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
9.5%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise5,742 forecasts
        
32.6%300%+
16.1%200–300%
22.1%125–200%
16.3%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall5,486 forecasts
        
36.4%300%+
16.4%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
15.3%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.4%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes1,702 forecasts
        
61.6%300%+
11.9%200–300%
2.3%125–200%
1.0%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
22.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes1,966 forecasts
        
56.2%300%+
16.5%200–300%
10.1%125–200%
3.9%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
10.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,678 forecasts
        
37.8%300%+
21.7%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
8.9%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
7.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours373 forecasts
        
35.7%300%+
21.4%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
8.8%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,035 forecasts
        
16.2%300%+
15.5%200–300%
35.1%125–200%
24.1%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,424 forecasts
        
9.3%300%+
12.8%200–300%
37.2%125–200%
37.3%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
1.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days50 forecasts
        
28.0%300%+
18.0%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
28.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 21
1,596
Tue 22
1,667
Wed 23
2,148
Thu 24
951
Fri 25
1,409
Sat 26
1,820
Mon 28
1,637
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,868 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 13:20 UTC
Price
350.51
Forecasted level
351.64
Distance
0.32%
Furthest move
1.08%
Confidence
95%
334% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,821 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-24 13:00 UTC
Price
338.54
Forecasted level
337.77
Distance
0.23%
Furthest move
0.55%
Confidence
96%
242% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,505 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 16:55 UTC
Price
338.52
Forecasted level
339.42
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.35%
Confidence
95%
132% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,776 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 14:00 UTC
Price
355.86
Forecasted level
354.68
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.34%
Confidence
96%
102% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 105 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 14:05 UTC
Price
342.39
Forecasted level
343.22
Distance
0.24%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
95%
93% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 111 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-24 16:25 UTC
Price
341.44
Forecasted level
340.91
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
50% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 110 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-23 15:20 UTC
Price
341.80
Forecasted level
342.21
Distance
0.12%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
48% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 932 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC
Price
340.61
Forecasted level
339.86
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
97%
0% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Alphabet forecasts, opened between 21 and 28 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 28 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

Other Alphabet reports