Monthly report · 2 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Alphabet, 2 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

Every Alphabet forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Alphabet price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 45,984 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more33.1%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.0%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level19.8%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.7%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.8%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.9%
  8. went under 25%6.1%
of the forecasted distance
        

45,984 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above45,984 forecasts
        
33.1%300%+
14.6%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
19.8%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%268,689 forecasts
        
27.2%300%+
14.2%200–300%
22.1%125–200%
21.3%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
11.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%225,534 forecasts
        
23.8%300%+
11.0%200–300%
19.9%125–200%
27.0%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
12.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%188,303 forecasts
        
22.6%300%+
10.5%200–300%
19.4%125–200%
29.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
11.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%146,137 forecasts
        
16.5%300%+
9.6%200–300%
21.3%125–200%
35.4%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
9.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%131,937 forecasts
        
11.9%300%+
8.0%200–300%
21.3%125–200%
41.7%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%114,207 forecasts
        
11.3%300%+
6.8%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
43.2%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%101,210 forecasts
        
11.1%300%+
6.9%200–300%
18.9%125–200%
42.8%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-six days.

▲ Could rise22,766 forecasts
        
33.9%300%+
14.0%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
20.4%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall23,218 forecasts
        
32.3%300%+
15.2%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
19.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes5,211 forecasts
        
64.6%300%+
10.9%200–300%
2.5%125–200%
0.9%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
20.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes6,760 forecasts
        
56.1%300%+
16.0%200–300%
12.1%125–200%
4.4%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour9,034 forecasts
        
38.2%300%+
18.8%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
10.1%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,359 forecasts
        
38.7%300%+
19.4%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
8.4%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours7,208 forecasts
        
18.4%300%+
16.8%200–300%
34.8%125–200%
22.0%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day8,848 forecasts
        
11.8%300%+
13.5%200–300%
35.5%125–200%
35.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days340 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
11.5%200–300%
35.3%125–200%
37.6%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days3,499 forecasts
        
13.6%300%+
12.3%200–300%
31.4%125–200%
42.6%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.1%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days3,725 forecasts
        
32.4%300%+
5.3%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
38.0%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 1
0
Wed 2
436
Thu 3
827
Fri 4
1,413
Sat 5
1,885
Mon 7
2,599
Tue 8
383
Wed 9
2,045
Thu 10
1,312
Fri 11
2,462
Sat 12
2,688
Mon 14
4,784
Tue 15
1,379
Wed 16
1,009
Thu 17
1,108
Fri 18
1,340
Sat 19
1,774
Mon 21
3,661
Tue 22
1,678
Wed 23
2,150
Thu 24
952
Fri 25
1,410
Sat 26
1,820
Mon 28
2,995
Tue 29
1,415
Wed 30
2,459
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 15,224 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC
Price
338.59
Forecasted level
340.88
Distance
0.68%
Furthest move
2.09%
Confidence
95%
309% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 6,694 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 13:30 UTC
Price
345.48
Forecasted level
344.32
Distance
0.34%
Furthest move
0.69%
Confidence
95%
204% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 11,051 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-14 12:45 UTC
Price
343.85
Forecasted level
345.88
Distance
0.59%
Furthest move
1.04%
Confidence
95%
176% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 9,101 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-05 01:40 UTC
Price
339.11
Forecasted level
337.47
Distance
0.48%
Furthest move
0.49%
Confidence
95%
101% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 330 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:30 UTC
Price
351.58
Forecasted level
352.61
Distance
0.29%
Furthest move
0.24%
Confidence
95%
80% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 378 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-14 01:03 UTC
Price
335.40
Forecasted level
334.62
Distance
0.23%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
96%
51% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 429 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-03 13:40 UTC
Price
344.18
Forecasted level
345.02
Distance
0.24%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
96%
47% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 2,777 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-14 01:16 UTC
Price
335.23
Forecasted level
334.15
Distance
0.32%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
21% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Alphabet forecasts, opened between 2 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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