One Forecast, Four Ways to Read It | Kunkafa

Two people open the same gold forecast. One has never read a probability. The other has traded for twenty years. The first wants one sentence. The second wants everything on one screen. Neither is wrong.

Where the four levels came from

We did not guess at this. We ran workshops with people of different profiles: newcomers who had never seen a probability on a chart, self-taught learners, active traders, and readers who live inside spreadsheets.

Each group was shown the same forecast and asked one thing. What do you need to see to make sense of it?

The answers did not overlap. Newcomers wanted a sentence. Learners wanted a list. Visual thinkers wanted distance against time. Experienced readers wanted the price line, the band and every level at once.

So we stopped looking for one screen. We designed four, on one rule: the numbers are identical at every level. Only the amount shown changes.

Level 1: One sentence

Pick a market, a duration and a move. Read Kunkafa’s confidence. That is the whole screen.

Could gold go up 1% within 12 days? Kunkafa’s confidence: 84%. The other side sits directly below it: down 0.6% in the same period, 70%. The figures are the homepage’s illustrative example.

This level is for the newcomer who wants one answer. It still carries both directions, because a one-line answer without the other side is a tip, not a forecast.

Level 2: The question

Your question in one line, the answers listed under it, both directions. Each row is a level with Kunkafa’s confidence for that level over the same duration.

This is for the reader who wants the list. Read the rows together, not the best one alone. A high confidence on a small move and a low one on a large move can be the same market saying one thing quietly.

Level 3: The picture

Every possible move from one point. Farther right is more time. Higher or lower is a bigger move. Bigger dots are likelier.

This level is for the learner who wants to see distance against time. It is also the clearest picture of the founding idea: greed draws one line up, fear draws one line down, Kunkafa draws every path with Kunkafa’s confidence in each.

Level 4: The full view

The price line, the forecast band, and every level with Kunkafa’s confidence. Everything on one screen, for the experienced reader who wants it that way.

This is the view the app shows today. The other three levels are part of the redesign coming to the app. You can already switch between the question, the picture and the full view in the Kunkafa market forecast demo.

The rules every level obeys

• Same numbers, less or more of them. A level never rounds, softens or reorders what another level shows.
• The other direction is never hidden. The side you asked about comes first, the other side below it or one tap away.
• Kunkafa’s confidence for every level, not one number for the market. A 52% is shown as 52%.
• No celebration, no consolation. Reaching a level and missing one are both counted the same way in the record.
• Phone first. Every level was designed at phone width before desktop, because that is where most readers open a forecast.

Behind all four sit the same seventy experts, the same daily count of how past forecasts ended, and the same guardrail. See each level at phone and desktop width, and the design decisions behind the forecast screen.

Which level is yours

If you want an answer, start at one sentence. If you want to compare moves, use the question. If you think in pictures, use the picture. If you want everything, the full view is waiting.

Free is where every account starts, and looking costs nothing. Open the Kunkafa market forecast demo and try the levels, or start your 7-day free trial.