KUNKAFA FREE TRADING TOOLS
Risk/Reward & Break-Even Calculator by Kunkafa
Compare your planned target, stop and costs, then calculate the win rate that would break even. Free, local calculations; no account or live market connection required.
Your planned trade
- Net target gain
- $200.00
- Planned stop loss
- $100.00
- Reward / risk
- 2 : 1
- Break-even win rate
- 33.33%
The break-even win rate assumes every trade finishes at either the target or the stop, with the entered total costs in either outcome. It is not a predicted win rate.
How Kunkafa calculates risk, reward and break-even
Planned loss = absolute entry-to-stop difference × quantity × multiplier, plus total round-trip costs. Net target gain = absolute target-to-entry difference × quantity × multiplier, minus those same costs.
Reward/risk = net gain ÷ planned loss. Break-even win rate = planned loss ÷ (planned loss + net gain), provided net gain is positive. This assumes two possible outcomes and no partial exits.
Example: buying 20 shares at $100 with a $95 stop and $110 target gives $100 risk, $200 reward and a 33.33% break-even win rate before costs. Entering $10 of total costs per outcome changes those figures to $110, $190 and 36.67%.
Enter all round-trip fees, spread, slippage and financing you want to model as one USD amount. That same total is applied to both outcomes; actual costs may differ. Taxes are excluded. Multiplier 1 is appropriate for shares; use contract units for a linear contract. Inverse contracts and currency conversion are unsupported.
A price-level-touch probability is not automatically a trade-win probability: the stop may be reached first. Kunkafa's forecasts do not make this two-outcome model a guarantee, and stops can execute at worse prices.
Put the arithmetic beside the probabilities
Kunkafa shows predicted changes, direction and probabilities across forecast durations. Use those outputs alongside your own loss limits and trade assumptions, not as a substitute for them.
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