Weekly report · 28 September to 5 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Micron, 28 September to 5 October

Prepared October 5, 2026 · Report data

Every Micron forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Micron price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 28 September to Monday 5 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 10,492 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more33.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.7%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.1%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level18.1%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.5%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.5%
  8. went under 25%3.6%
of the forecasted distance
        

10,492 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above10,492 forecasts
        
33.9%300%+
14.7%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
18.1%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%52,746 forecasts
        
20.1%300%+
12.6%200–300%
28.5%125–200%
25.7%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%44,502 forecasts
        
15.8%300%+
9.5%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
30.1%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%38,993 forecasts
        
16.2%300%+
8.5%200–300%
23.6%125–200%
31.7%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
3.2%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
9.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%32,618 forecasts
        
12.7%300%+
9.1%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%27,250 forecasts
        
9.1%300%+
8.4%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
35.9%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%20,914 forecasts
        
8.3%300%+
7.9%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
36.9%100–125%
4.8%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
5.1%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%19,814 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
7.3%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
37.0%100–125%
5.0%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
9.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise5,444 forecasts
        
32.4%300%+
14.8%200–300%
26.4%125–200%
18.3%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall5,048 forecasts
        
35.6%300%+
14.5%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
17.9%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,430 forecasts
        
65.8%300%+
10.4%200–300%
9.5%125–200%
3.8%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,596 forecasts
        
44.7%300%+
18.6%200–300%
19.1%125–200%
7.7%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,579 forecasts
        
24.9%300%+
17.0%200–300%
31.2%125–200%
16.9%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours508 forecasts
        
30.1%300%+
23.0%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
10.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,457 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
16.3%200–300%
40.2%125–200%
25.9%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,774 forecasts
        
5.1%300%+
9.0%200–300%
36.6%125–200%
47.2%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
0.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days147 forecasts
        
2.7%300%+
14.3%200–300%
33.3%125–200%
49.7%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
100.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 28
2,980
Tue 29
1,144
Wed 30
1,340
Thu 1
1,111
Fri 2
1,680
Sat 3
911
Mon 5
1,326
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,560 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC
Price
1,073.05
Forecasted level
1,076.92
Distance
0.36%
Furthest move
1.14%
Confidence
95%
315% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,539 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-29 07:45 UTC
Price
1,071.97
Forecasted level
1,065.95
Distance
0.56%
Furthest move
1.21%
Confidence
95%
216% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,635 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 08:40 UTC
Price
1,057.52
Forecasted level
1,063.77
Distance
0.59%
Furthest move
0.74%
Confidence
95%
125% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,902 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 16:00 UTC
Price
1,046.47
Forecasted level
1,038.93
Distance
0.72%
Furthest move
0.88%
Confidence
95%
123% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 161 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-28 13:45 UTC
Price
1,060.81
Forecasted level
1,063.78
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.27%
Confidence
96%
95% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 161 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC
Price
1,041.28
Forecasted level
1,038.37
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.18%
Confidence
96%
63% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 160 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-30 20:40 UTC
Price
1,080.21
Forecasted level
1,082.69
Distance
0.23%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
25% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 374 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-01 14:25 UTC
Price
1,034.68
Forecasted level
1,031.05
Distance
0.35%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
96%
22% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Micron forecasts, opened between 28 September and 5 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 5 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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