Full report · 31 August to 21 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Micron, 31 August to 21 September

Prepared September 22, 2026 · Report data

Every Micron forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Micron price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 30,873 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more28.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%12.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level25.1%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.4%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.4%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.6%
  8. went under 25%3.6%
of the forecasted distance
        

30,873 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above30,873 forecasts
        
28.5%300%+
12.8%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
25.1%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%145,567 forecasts
        
19.8%300%+
11.7%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
28.3%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%129,282 forecasts
        
16.6%300%+
8.5%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
33.1%100–125%
3.4%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
7.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%110,035 forecasts
        
16.0%300%+
8.0%200–300%
22.3%125–200%
35.6%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%92,698 forecasts
        
12.2%300%+
8.2%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
38.2%100–125%
3.4%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
7.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%85,785 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
7.3%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
41.5%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%73,877 forecasts
        
9.7%300%+
6.7%200–300%
20.5%125–200%
43.2%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%66,844 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
7.1%200–300%
19.5%125–200%
42.3%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
7.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty days.

▲ Could rise15,590 forecasts
        
26.2%300%+
12.4%200–300%
26.1%125–200%
26.8%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall15,283 forecasts
        
30.9%300%+
13.3%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
23.3%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes4,849 forecasts
        
69.2%300%+
9.2%200–300%
8.4%125–200%
3.6%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes5,277 forecasts
        
47.1%300%+
17.5%200–300%
18.0%125–200%
8.5%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
5.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,468 forecasts
        
26.0%300%+
20.2%200–300%
29.4%125–200%
14.6%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours722 forecasts
        
31.3%300%+
22.0%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
10.7%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours4,534 forecasts
        
10.7%300%+
14.0%200–300%
35.8%125–200%
29.7%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day6,933 forecasts
        
8.2%300%+
9.8%200–300%
30.8%125–200%
43.1%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,243 forecasts
        
6.3%300%+
9.6%200–300%
36.1%125–200%
38.8%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days2,744 forecasts
        
10.6%300%+
7.6%200–300%
31.2%125–200%
50.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days1,103 forecasts
        
37.1%300%+
8.1%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
31.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
62
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
3
Thu 3
62
Fri 4
1,981
Sat 5
960
Mon 7
3,712
Tue 8
1,061
Wed 9
1,598
Thu 10
1,798
Fri 11
1,496
Sat 12
1,976
Mon 14
6,966
Tue 15
1,046
Wed 16
782
Thu 17
1,456
Fri 18
1,344
Sat 19
980
Mon 21
3,590
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 8,803 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-03 13:30 UTC
Price
939.42
Forecasted level
943.79
Distance
0.47%
Furthest move
2.19%
Confidence
95%
470% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,960 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-09 13:45 UTC
Price
1,034.53
Forecasted level
1,027.65
Distance
0.66%
Furthest move
1.47%
Confidence
96%
221% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 7,898 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 13:15 UTC
Price
907.09
Forecasted level
913.18
Distance
0.67%
Furthest move
0.98%
Confidence
97%
146% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 7,746 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-07 06:30 UTC
Price
1,044.50
Forecasted level
1,035.43
Distance
0.87%
Furthest move
1.01%
Confidence
95%
116% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 444 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-13 09:00 UTC
Price
942.66
Forecasted level
948.20
Distance
0.59%
Furthest move
0.47%
Confidence
96%
80% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 432 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-04 13:50 UTC
Price
994.24
Forecasted level
988.66
Distance
0.56%
Furthest move
0.30%
Confidence
96%
54% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 487 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 22:55 UTC
Price
974.95
Forecasted level
981.02
Distance
0.62%
Furthest move
0.20%
Confidence
95%
32% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,103 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 13:35 UTC
Price
972.90
Forecasted level
968.46
Distance
0.46%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
96%
19% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Micron forecasts, opened between 31 August and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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