Monthly report · 11 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Coreweave, 11 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Coreweave forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Coreweave price forecast Kunkafa published from Friday 11 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 43,844 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more40.8%
  2. went 200 to 300%10.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%20.1%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level17.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.7%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.5%
  8. went under 25%9.0%
of the forecasted distance
        

43,844 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above43,844 forecasts
        
40.8%300%+
10.6%200–300%
20.1%125–200%
17.7%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
9.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%204,933 forecasts
        
33.7%300%+
9.6%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
18.9%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
14.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%154,387 forecasts
        
27.2%300%+
8.4%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
24.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
12.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%125,697 forecasts
        
26.2%300%+
8.6%200–300%
20.3%125–200%
26.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
11.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%101,723 forecasts
        
21.8%300%+
8.6%200–300%
22.2%125–200%
29.4%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
10.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%88,864 forecasts
        
14.7%300%+
8.0%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
35.8%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
8.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%73,427 forecasts
        
13.1%300%+
6.8%200–300%
21.3%125–200%
38.3%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%64,116 forecasts
        
13.2%300%+
7.0%200–300%
20.4%125–200%
37.8%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
9.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seventeen days.

▲ Could rise23,340 forecasts
        
38.1%300%+
9.7%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
21.7%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall20,504 forecasts
        
43.9%300%+
11.5%200–300%
20.5%125–200%
13.2%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.3%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes6,850 forecasts
        
63.8%300%+
2.5%200–300%
1.9%125–200%
0.9%100–125%
0.2%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
30.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes7,558 forecasts
        
67.4%300%+
7.5%200–300%
8.1%125–200%
3.3%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
11.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour8,088 forecasts
        
54.4%300%+
14.1%200–300%
15.6%125–200%
6.3%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours884 forecasts
        
42.3%300%+
18.9%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
7.9%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours5,302 forecasts
        
23.6%300%+
17.0%200–300%
33.9%125–200%
18.0%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day6,824 forecasts
        
20.4%300%+
12.8%200–300%
33.9%125–200%
30.0%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
1.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,090 forecasts
        
14.0%300%+
12.2%200–300%
35.0%125–200%
35.8%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
1.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days4,038 forecasts
        
15.3%300%+
10.5%200–300%
31.8%125–200%
41.9%100–125%
0.2%75–99%
0.1%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days3,210 forecasts
        
7.6%300%+
8.2%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
55.9%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.3%25–50%
0.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Friday to Wednesday.

Fri 11
2,181
Sat 12
4,953
Mon 14
6,765
Tue 15
2,368
Wed 16
1,332
Thu 17
2,311
Fri 18
1,607
Sat 19
2,846
Mon 21
5,694
Tue 22
1,238
Wed 23
1,142
Thu 24
1,233
Fri 25
1,162
Sat 26
2,901
Mon 28
4,027
Tue 29
1,338
Wed 30
746
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 17,895 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-13 23:45 UTC
Price
84.71
Forecasted level
85.48
Distance
0.91%
Furthest move
3.07%
Confidence
96%
337% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 4,629 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-11 08:45 UTC
Price
91.56
Forecasted level
90.54
Distance
1.11%
Furthest move
2.65%
Confidence
95%
239% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 8,800 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-14 12:00 UTC
Price
81.07
Forecasted level
83.11
Distance
2.52%
Furthest move
3.50%
Confidence
95%
139% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 7,765 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-17 13:25 UTC
Price
81.65
Forecasted level
80.54
Distance
1.36%
Furthest move
1.53%
Confidence
95%
113% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 307 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-17 11:20 UTC
Price
84.97
Forecasted level
86.11
Distance
1.34%
Furthest move
1.13%
Confidence
96%
84% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 284 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-24 16:52 UTC
Price
89.34
Forecasted level
88.86
Distance
0.54%
Furthest move
0.35%
Confidence
95%
64% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 221 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-17 11:30 UTC
Price
83.40
Forecasted level
84.27
Distance
1.04%
Furthest move
0.49%
Confidence
96%
47% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 3,943 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-24 16:47 UTC
Price
88.40
Forecasted level
87.90
Distance
0.57%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
95%
0% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Coreweave forecasts, opened between 11 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Coreweave forecasts

Other Coreweave reports