Full report · 11 to 21 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Coreweave, 11 to 21 September

Prepared September 22, 2026 · Report data

Every Coreweave forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Coreweave price forecast Kunkafa published from Friday 11 to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 24,064 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more43.1%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.3%
  3. went 125 to 200%20.1%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level13.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.7%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.7%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.5%
  8. went under 25%9.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

24,064 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above24,064 forecasts
        
43.1%300%+
11.3%200–300%
20.1%125–200%
13.7%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%105,457 forecasts
        
35.6%300%+
9.8%200–300%
19.4%125–200%
15.4%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
15.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%78,358 forecasts
        
30.2%300%+
8.6%200–300%
20.2%125–200%
20.1%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
14.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%62,231 forecasts
        
28.4%300%+
8.6%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
22.6%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
13.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%47,776 forecasts
        
23.8%300%+
9.3%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
24.4%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
11.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%41,455 forecasts
        
16.0%300%+
8.7%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
30.7%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%34,963 forecasts
        
14.9%300%+
7.2%200–300%
22.1%125–200%
33.3%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%31,222 forecasts
        
15.9%300%+
7.3%200–300%
21.1%125–200%
32.3%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
10.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the nine days.

▲ Could rise12,668 forecasts
        
40.5%300%+
11.1%200–300%
21.1%125–200%
16.0%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall11,396 forecasts
        
46.0%300%+
11.5%200–300%
18.9%125–200%
11.0%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.3%25–50%
11.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes3,881 forecasts
        
62.0%300%+
3.1%200–300%
2.5%125–200%
1.2%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
30.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes4,324 forecasts
        
67.2%300%+
7.4%200–300%
8.2%125–200%
3.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.3%25–50%
12.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour4,917 forecasts
        
55.4%300%+
13.0%200–300%
15.2%125–200%
6.5%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours466 forecasts
        
43.4%300%+
20.4%200–300%
21.0%125–200%
9.4%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours3,635 forecasts
        
23.0%300%+
17.2%200–300%
34.4%125–200%
16.7%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
4.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day4,750 forecasts
        
20.3%300%+
13.2%200–300%
32.7%125–200%
30.1%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
1.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days705 forecasts
        
18.0%300%+
11.6%200–300%
31.4%125–200%
35.6%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1,386 forecasts
        
14.9%300%+
14.7%200–300%
37.2%125–200%
32.7%100–125%
0.1%75–99%
0.1%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Friday to Monday.

Fri 11
1,426
Sat 12
4,358
Mon 14
5,983
Tue 15
1,410
Wed 16
889
Thu 17
2,287
Fri 18
1,205
Sat 19
2,256
Mon 21
4,250
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 10,372 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-13 23:45 UTC
Price
84.71
Forecasted level
85.48
Distance
0.91%
Furthest move
3.07%
Confidence
96%
337% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 2,713 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 08:30 UTC
Price
91.32
Forecasted level
90.45
Distance
0.96%
Furthest move
2.40%
Confidence
95%
251% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 4,836 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-13 10:30 UTC
Price
85.66
Forecasted level
86.50
Distance
0.98%
Furthest move
1.93%
Confidence
96%
197% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 3,292 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 08:45 UTC
Price
91.56
Forecasted level
90.80
Distance
0.83%
Furthest move
0.99%
Confidence
96%
120% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 174 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:45 UTC
Price
81.85
Forecasted level
82.62
Distance
0.94%
Furthest move
0.75%
Confidence
95%
79% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 163 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-14 13:37 UTC
Price
82.75
Forecasted level
82.34
Distance
0.49%
Furthest move
0.28%
Confidence
96%
56% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 118 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-12 21:15 UTC
Price
88.66
Forecasted level
89.31
Distance
0.73%
Furthest move
0.21%
Confidence
95%
29% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 2,396 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 18:45 UTC
Price
79.52
Forecasted level
79.22
Distance
0.38%
Furthest move
0.05%
Confidence
96%
13% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Coreweave forecasts, opened between 11 and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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