The question was
Could SpaceX fall 1.685%?
Up to 12 days
Kunkafa’s answer
Kunkafa’s confidence
82%
MARKET DATA
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Reached the level
88%
All time880,398 forecasts evaluated
At Kunkafa’s confidence of 90% or higher.
Kunkafa’s confidence 90% or higher 88% reached the level 110,663 forecasts
Last day
64%
13,688 evaluated
Last 7 days
88%
520,672 evaluated
Last 30 days
88%
880,398 evaluated
All time
88%
880,398 evaluated
| Window | Forecasts evaluated | Confident enough | Reached the level |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last day | 13,688 | 1,585 12% | 64% |
| Last 7 days | 520,672 | 65,039 13% | 88% |
| Last 30 days | 880,398 | 110,663 13% | 88% |
| All time | 880,398 | 110,663 13% | 88% |
Over the last 30 days, Kunkafa’s forecasts for SpaceX with Kunkafa’s confidence of 90% or higher reached the level 88% of the time, counted over 110,663 such forecasts, out of 880,398 evaluated in that window. Of those, 88% reached the level they named inside their own duration. Past results do not promise future ones, and both directions stay possible on every new forecast.
Explore selected past forecasts for this market, including targets that were reached and targets that were missed.
The question was
Up to 12 days
Kunkafa’s answer
Kunkafa’s confidence
82%
The question was
Up to 1 day
Kunkafa’s answer
Kunkafa’s confidence
89%
The question was
Up to 2 days
Kunkafa’s answer
Kunkafa’s confidence
81%
Past results do not promise future results. Up and down both remain possible.
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