Markets / S&P 500 Index

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S&P 500 Index

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Last updated: 29 Oct 2026, 03:17 UTC

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Could the price of S&P 500 Index fall 0.7254% within 12 days?

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S&P 500 Index: AI market analysis

Explore S&P 500 Index with Kunkafa’s AI market analysis. Review percentage market moves, past forecast examples, the measured performance record.

Latest full report

How far S&P 500 Index went toward Kunkafa’s levels

Wednesday 9 September to Friday 23 October 2026 · at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher

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  1. went 300% or more14.3%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%31.4%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level36.2%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.5%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.4%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.3%
  8. went under 25%2.0%
of the forecasted distance
        

49,721 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days. Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Weekly and monthly editions and lower confidence floors, from 90% down to 60%, are in the S&P 500 Index reports.

Performance varies across assets. We recommend checking multiple assets.

S&P 500 Index

Index

Reached the level

90%

All time3,487,371 forecasts evaluated

At Kunkafa’s confidence of 90% or higher.

By Kunkafa’s confidence reached the level · All time
0%25%50%75%100%5%25%50%75%95% 90% at 90%

Kunkafa’s confidence 90% or higher 90% reached the level 400,592 forecasts

Last day

87%

7,878 evaluated

Last 7 days

90%

357,609 evaluated

Last 30 days

90%

1,592,343 evaluated

All time

90%

3,487,371 evaluated

By window

WindowForecasts evaluatedConfident enoughReached the level
Last day 7,878 750 10% 87%
Last 7 days 357,609 41,991 12% 90%
Last 30 days 1,592,343 200,415 13% 90%
All time 3,487,371 400,592 12% 90%

Over the last 30 days, Kunkafa’s forecasts for S&P 500 Index with Kunkafa’s confidence of 90% or higher reached the level 90% of the time, counted over 200,415 such forecasts, out of 1,592,343 evaluated in that window. All time, that share is 90% across 400,592 such forecasts, and 90% of them reached the level they named inside their own duration. Past results do not promise future ones, and both directions stay possible on every new forecast.

What Kunkafa’s models thought. What happened.

  • The latest eligible example for every original duration over the previous 90 days.
  • Both directions, with forecasted changes reached and missed included.
  • Confidence above 80%; original duration longer than 24 hours.
  • Newest closing time first. These selected results do not measure aggregate performance.

We share public records and honest insight while limiting the training material available to competitors. Restricting history helps reduce model-distillation risk, but cannot prevent collection over time.

Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.2879%?

Their confidence was 84.58%.

The price did not reach the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.17%.

58.6% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.2356%?

Their confidence was 83.39%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.26%.

108.47% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.1694%?

Their confidence was 89.65%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.17%.

102.22% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.1844%?

Their confidence was 90.85%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.19%.

103.55% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.07838%?

Their confidence was 92.35%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.08%.

107.51% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index rise 0.3197%?

Their confidence was 87.03%.

The price did not reach the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.29%.

89.68% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index rise 0.515%?

Their confidence was 80.85%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.57%.

110.37% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index rise 0.513%?

Their confidence was 85.55%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.65%.

126.83% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index rise 0.9646%?

Their confidence was 80.40%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 1.08%.

111.68% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.5091%?

Their confidence was 96.44%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.52%.

102.66% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.4501%?

Their confidence was 90.41%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.46%.

101.52% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could S&P 500 Index fall 0.8574%?

Their confidence was 91.51%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.86%.

100.53% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
“Reached” means touched during the periodA price may touch the forecasted change and then reverse. This differs from finishing in the forecast direction.

Past results do not promise future results. Up and down both remain possible.

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