Markets / Microsoft

MARKET DATA

Microsoft

equity

USD

Last updated: 28 Oct 2026, 03:16 UTC

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Could the price of Microsoft fall 0.9391% within 12 days?

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Microsoft: AI market analysis

Explore Microsoft with Kunkafa’s AI market analysis. Review percentage market moves, past forecast examples, the measured performance record.

Latest full report

How far Microsoft went toward Kunkafa’s levels

Monday 31 August to Monday 26 October 2026 · at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher

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  1. went 300% or more35.4%
  2. went 200 to 300%10.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%23.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level19.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.5%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.5%
  8. went under 25%9.2%
of the forecasted distance
        

118,519 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days. Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Weekly and monthly editions and lower confidence floors, from 90% down to 60%, are in the Microsoft reports.

Performance varies across assets. We recommend checking multiple assets.

Microsoft

Stock

Reached the level

85%

All time5,308,651 forecasts evaluated

At Kunkafa’s confidence of 90% or higher.

By Kunkafa’s confidence reached the level · All time
0%25%50%75%100%5%25%50%75%95% 85% at 90%

Kunkafa’s confidence 90% or higher 85% reached the level 775,576 forecasts

Last day

88%

24,902 evaluated

Last 7 days

85%

654,347 evaluated

Last 30 days

85%

2,916,492 evaluated

All time

85%

5,308,651 evaluated

By window

WindowForecasts evaluatedConfident enoughReached the level
Last day 24,902 2,226 9% 88%
Last 7 days 654,347 86,630 13% 85%
Last 30 days 2,916,492 411,527 14% 85%
All time 5,308,651 775,576 15% 85%

Over the last 30 days, Kunkafa’s forecasts for Microsoft with Kunkafa’s confidence of 90% or higher reached the level 85% of the time, counted over 411,527 such forecasts, out of 2,916,492 evaluated in that window. All time, that share is 85% across 775,576 such forecasts, and 85% of them reached the level they named inside their own duration. Past results do not promise future ones, and both directions stay possible on every new forecast.

What Kunkafa’s models thought. What happened.

  • The latest eligible example for every original duration over the previous 90 days.
  • Both directions, with forecasted changes reached and missed included.
  • Confidence above 80%; original duration longer than 24 hours.
  • Newest closing time first. These selected results do not measure aggregate performance.

We share public records and honest insight while limiting the training material available to competitors. Restricting history helps reduce model-distillation risk, but cannot prevent collection over time.

Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.2672%?

Their confidence was 87.44%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.29%.

108.28% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.1918%?

Their confidence was 88.51%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.21%.

109.79% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.2069%?

Their confidence was 88.04%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.24%.

114.46% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.27%?

Their confidence was 83.49%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.31%.

115.5% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.6072%?

Their confidence was 86.86%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.62%.

101.46% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.3327%?

Their confidence was 90.47%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.36%.

108.9% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.5923%?

Their confidence was 85.74%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.66%.

110.61% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.8377%?

Their confidence was 84.66%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.84%.

100.15% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.7051%?

Their confidence was 84.40%.

The price did not reach the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.65%.

92.05% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft rise 0.3591%?

Their confidence was 92.08%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.36%.

100.98% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 0.6593%?

Their confidence was 90.72%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 0.68%.

103.31% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
Prediction time
Closing time

Kunkafa’s experts tried to answer the following:

Could Microsoft fall 2.911%?

Their confidence was 82.61%.

The price reached the forecasted change.

Furthest price move in the forecast direction: 3.1%.

106.49% of the distance to the forecasted change.

Recorded outcome
“Reached” means touched during the periodA price may touch the forecasted change and then reverse. This differs from finishing in the forecast direction.

Past results do not promise future results. Up and down both remain possible.

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