Monthly report · 3 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on SanDisk, 3 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

Every SanDisk forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every SanDisk price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 3 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 65,957 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more30.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%13.4%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.9%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level22.9%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.4%
  8. went under 25%3.2%
of the forecasted distance
        

65,957 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above65,957 forecasts
        
30.0%300%+
13.4%200–300%
25.9%125–200%
22.9%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%226,372 forecasts
        
18.7%300%+
12.3%200–300%
28.0%125–200%
28.0%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%191,489 forecasts
        
12.9%300%+
9.0%200–300%
26.5%125–200%
34.6%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%164,220 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
8.9%200–300%
25.9%125–200%
36.1%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%142,148 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
8.6%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
37.7%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
6.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%136,616 forecasts
        
7.5%300%+
7.5%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
39.9%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
5.1%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%120,347 forecasts
        
6.9%300%+
6.9%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
41.3%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
5.0%50–75%
5.1%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%112,974 forecasts
        
7.1%300%+
6.6%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
40.8%100–125%
5.0%75–99%
5.3%50–75%
5.3%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-six days.

▲ Could rise34,816 forecasts
        
28.7%300%+
13.5%200–300%
26.7%125–200%
23.5%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall31,141 forecasts
        
31.6%300%+
13.3%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes13,738 forecasts
        
63.9%300%+
12.1%200–300%
10.2%125–200%
3.5%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes13,120 forecasts
        
44.3%300%+
17.9%200–300%
20.5%125–200%
8.4%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour7,326 forecasts
        
24.2%300%+
20.0%200–300%
32.0%125–200%
16.3%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,632 forecasts
        
32.9%300%+
20.5%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
11.7%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours7,460 forecasts
        
9.8%300%+
13.8%200–300%
38.4%125–200%
29.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day11,537 forecasts
        
7.8%300%+
8.4%200–300%
33.4%125–200%
43.7%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,336 forecasts
        
9.3%300%+
13.3%200–300%
32.8%125–200%
39.1%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days5,784 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
7.1%200–300%
30.3%125–200%
47.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days4,024 forecasts
        
15.1%300%+
10.8%200–300%
32.8%125–200%
41.0%100–125%
0.1%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 1
0
Wed 2
0
Thu 3
118
Fri 4
2,491
Sat 5
1,405
Mon 7
3,840
Tue 8
1,024
Wed 9
1,786
Thu 10
1,993
Fri 11
2,088
Sat 12
2,330
Mon 14
8,895
Tue 15
1,920
Wed 16
769
Thu 17
1,593
Fri 18
2,987
Sat 19
2,189
Mon 21
6,904
Tue 22
2,565
Wed 23
2,463
Thu 24
2,223
Fri 25
2,065
Sat 26
3,374
Mon 28
7,528
Tue 29
1,655
Wed 30
1,752
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 19,814 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-13 23:30 UTC
Price
1,568.95
Forecasted level
1,584.44
Distance
0.99%
Furthest move
3.11%
Confidence
97%
315% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 8,832 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-10 11:00 UTC
Price
1,741.81
Forecasted level
1,725.38
Distance
0.94%
Furthest move
1.98%
Confidence
95%
210% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 17,083 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-13 22:15 UTC
Price
1,565.68
Forecasted level
1,602.79
Distance
2.37%
Furthest move
3.33%
Confidence
95%
140% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 15,125 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-18 10:45 UTC
Price
1,642.30
Forecasted level
1,625.07
Distance
1.05%
Furthest move
1.28%
Confidence
95%
122% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,066 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 14:00 UTC
Price
1,887.60
Forecasted level
1,906.94
Distance
1.02%
Furthest move
0.89%
Confidence
96%
86% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,037 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-04 13:30 UTC
Price
1,638.32
Forecasted level
1,620.43
Distance
1.09%
Furthest move
0.58%
Confidence
95%
52% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 923 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 13:45 UTC
Price
1,897.20
Forecasted level
1,916.67
Distance
1.03%
Furthest move
0.38%
Confidence
96%
36% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 2,077 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-11 15:10 UTC
Price
1,626.62
Forecasted level
1,611.00
Distance
0.96%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
95%
0% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live SanDisk forecasts, opened between 3 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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