Full report · 4 September to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Gold, 4 September to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every Gold forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every gold price forecast Kunkafa published from Friday 4 September to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 34,367 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more11.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%8.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%28.0%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level44.4%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.9%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.8%
  8. went under 25%2.2%
of the forecasted distance
        

34,367 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 50 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above34,367 forecasts
        
11.0%300%+
8.9%200–300%
28.0%125–200%
44.4%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%255,305 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
10.4%200–300%
29.3%125–200%
38.6%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
3.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%249,613 forecasts
        
5.1%300%+
7.4%200–300%
25.5%125–200%
45.2%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%214,850 forecasts
        
5.1%300%+
6.9%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
46.1%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%190,102 forecasts
        
4.2%300%+
6.5%200–300%
21.9%125–200%
48.5%100–125%
4.8%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%179,468 forecasts
        
3.3%300%+
5.3%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
50.9%100–125%
5.4%75–99%
5.0%50–75%
4.9%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%164,013 forecasts
        
3.2%300%+
4.8%200–300%
18.8%125–200%
50.0%100–125%
6.0%75–99%
5.8%50–75%
5.6%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%153,276 forecasts
        
3.1%300%+
5.1%200–300%
19.2%125–200%
48.0%100–125%
6.4%75–99%
5.9%50–75%
6.0%25–50%
6.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 41 days.

▲ Could rise25,035 forecasts
        
10.7%300%+
9.3%200–300%
29.3%125–200%
42.1%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall9,332 forecasts
        
12.0%300%+
7.7%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
50.7%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 50 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,386 forecasts
        
53.5%300%+
18.2%200–300%
14.0%125–200%
5.5%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,025 forecasts
        
28.1%300%+
21.7%200–300%
28.8%125–200%
12.0%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,046 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
18.3%200–300%
39.0%125–200%
24.5%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours589 forecasts
        
18.3%300%+
20.7%200–300%
33.5%125–200%
17.5%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours4,254 forecasts
        
2.3%300%+
8.6%200–300%
39.3%125–200%
38.5%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day7,572 forecasts
        
2.0%300%+
4.6%200–300%
30.0%125–200%
52.4%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days947 forecasts
        
0.1%300%+
1.9%200–300%
30.3%125–200%
61.5%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days6,147 forecasts
        
7.2%300%+
4.1%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
61.6%100–125%
0.1%75–99%
0.1%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days5,282 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
4.7%200–300%
19.2%125–200%
62.7%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days1,053 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
4.9%200–300%
14.3%125–200%
61.9%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
1.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days66 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
10.6%75–99%
21.2%50–75%
27.3%25–50%
40.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Friday to Monday.

Fri 4
25
Mon 7
2
Tue 8
27
Wed 9
76
Fri 11
2
Mon 14
67
Tue 15
1,103
Wed 16
511
Thu 17
761
Fri 18
663
Mon 21
1,040
Tue 22
508
Wed 23
1,507
Thu 24
1,085
Fri 25
1,160
Mon 28
2,334
Tue 29
1,345
Wed 30
2,048
Thu 1
930
Fri 2
926
Mon 5
411
Tue 6
745
Wed 7
2,102
Thu 8
612
Fri 9
885
Mon 12
1,717
Tue 13
262
Wed 14
1,009
Thu 15
794
Fri 16
977
Mon 19
808
Tue 20
1,227
Wed 21
129
Thu 22
458
Fri 23
2,312
Mon 26
470
Tue 27
324
Wed 28
1,149
Thu 29
411
Fri 30
1,441
Mon 2
4
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,792 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 25 days · 2026-10-01 23:55 UTC
Price
4,182.12
Forecasted level
4,196.78
Distance
0.35%
Furthest move
1.11%
Confidence
96%
317% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,056 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-21 07:12 UTC
Price
4,346.99
Forecasted level
4,337.29
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
0.48%
Confidence
96%
214% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 9,634 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-14 09:45 UTC
Price
4,285.68
Forecasted level
4,324.18
Distance
0.90%
Furthest move
1.24%
Confidence
95%
138% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 15,276 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-19 15:29 UTC
Price
4,148.87
Forecasted level
4,130.84
Distance
0.43%
Furthest move
0.46%
Confidence
95%
106% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 607 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-09 11:30 UTC
Price
4,405.64
Forecasted level
4,440.62
Distance
0.79%
Furthest move
0.67%
Confidence
95%
83% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 646 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-07 12:45 UTC
Price
4,087.43
Forecasted level
4,076.60
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
95%
50% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 616 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 50 days · 2026-09-09 18:45 UTC
Price
4,406.86
Forecasted level
4,438.69
Distance
0.72%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
96%
31% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 740 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 10:42 UTC
Price
4,315.09
Forecasted level
4,303.54
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
2% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Gold forecasts, opened between 4 September and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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