Every Nasdaq 100 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Nasdaq 100 price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 14 to Tuesday 22 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 5,888 forecasts that settled came out like this:

went 300% or more13.6%
went 200 to 300%12.7%
went 125 to 200%33.3%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level29.4%
went 75 to 99%2.6%
went 50 to 75%2.3%
went 25 to 50%3.0%
went under 25%3.1%

of the forecasted distance

5,888 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above5,888 forecasts

13.6%300%+

12.7%200–300%

33.3%125–200%

29.4%100–125%

2.6%75–99%

2.3%50–75%

3.0%25–50%

3.1%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 90 to 95%36,518 forecasts

11.4%300%+

11.2%200–300%

28.3%125–200%

27.6%100–125%

3.3%75–99%

3.5%50–75%

3.6%25–50%

11.1%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 85 to 90%41,841 forecasts

18.9%300%+

7.7%200–300%

26.5%125–200%

24.9%100–125%

3.1%75–99%

3.1%50–75%

3.4%25–50%

12.4%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 80 to 85%40,745 forecasts

12.4%300%+

5.7%200–300%

17.6%125–200%

30.8%100–125%

4.4%75–99%

2.7%50–75%

3.1%25–50%

23.3%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 75 to 80%22,212 forecasts

7.2%300%+

8.3%200–300%

26.3%125–200%

37.9%100–125%

4.1%75–99%

5.0%50–75%

5.1%25–50%

6.1%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 70 to 75%22,906 forecasts

16.0%300%+

6.1%200–300%

23.8%125–200%

35.5%100–125%

3.9%75–99%

4.7%50–75%

4.4%25–50%

5.6%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 65 to 70%29,372 forecasts

13.2%300%+

4.1%200–300%

23.1%125–200%

25.3%100–125%

2.9%75–99%

4.0%50–75%

3.1%25–50%

24.3%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 60 to 65%28,664 forecasts

4.3%300%+

4.1%200–300%

14.0%125–200%

26.1%100–125%

2.9%75–99%

13.2%50–75%

3.3%25–50%

32.1%<25%

of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise2,221 forecasts

17.4%300%+

16.2%200–300%

35.7%125–200%

27.8%100–125%

0.7%75–99%

0.9%50–75%

0.7%25–50%

0.6%<25%

of the forecasted level

▼ Could fall3,667 forecasts

11.3%300%+

10.6%200–300%

31.9%125–200%

30.4%100–125%

3.7%75–99%

3.1%50–75%

4.4%25–50%

4.6%<25%

of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes606 forecasts

58.1%300%+

15.2%200–300%

12.0%125–200%

4.1%100–125%

3.0%75–99%

1.6%50–75%

2.0%25–50%

4.0%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 25 minutes806 forecasts

33.0%300%+

22.2%200–300%

28.0%125–200%

10.3%100–125%

1.1%75–99%

1.5%50–75%

1.4%25–50%

2.5%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 1 hour912 forecasts

10.7%300%+

20.3%200–300%

36.7%125–200%

21.5%100–125%

2.4%75–99%

2.5%50–75%

3.3%25–50%

2.6%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 2 hours125 forecasts

8.8%300%+

21.6%200–300%

33.6%125–200%

16.8%100–125%

4.0%75–99%

5.6%50–75%

4.8%25–50%

4.8%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 6 hours1,781 forecasts

1.6%300%+

8.1%200–300%

40.4%125–200%

36.8%100–125%

2.4%75–99%

2.8%50–75%

4.0%25–50%

3.9%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 1 day1,633 forecasts

2.9%300%+

7.4%200–300%

34.4%125–200%

44.6%100–125%

3.3%75–99%

2.0%50–75%

2.9%25–50%

2.5%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 4 days25 forecasts

0.0%300%+

0.0%200–300%

16.0%125–200%

84.0%100–125%

0.0%75–99%

0.0%50–75%

0.0%25–50%

0.0%<25%

of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Tuesday.

Mon 14

16

Tue 15

1,348

Wed 16

263

Thu 17

717

Fri 18

1,077

Mon 21

2,137

Tue 22

330

300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%

of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 802 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-21 14:00 UTC

Price

30,145.37

Forecasted level

30,168.25

Distance

0.08%

Furthest move

0.29%

Confidence

95%

383% of the forecast distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 748 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-21 18:15 UTC

Price

30,448.39

Forecasted level

30,416.60

Distance

0.10%

Furthest move

0.22%

Confidence

96%

206% of the forecast distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 1,962 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-16 13:25 UTC

Price

29,079.54

Forecasted level

29,131.70

Distance

0.18%

Furthest move

0.31%

Confidence

95%

175% of the forecast distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,731 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-14 15:35 UTC

Price

29,157.18

Forecasted level

29,090.90

Distance

0.23%

Furthest move

0.28%

Confidence

95%

124% of the forecast distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 150 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-14 16:45 UTC

Price

29,244.44

Forecasted level

29,287.30

Distance

0.15%

Furthest move

0.14%

Confidence

95%

95% of the forecast distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 134 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 13:40 UTC

Price

29,337.10

Forecasted level

29,312.28

Distance

0.08%

Furthest move

0.06%

Confidence

95%

71% of the forecast distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 177 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-15 13:30 UTC

Price

29,121.94

Forecasted level

29,160.25

Distance

0.13%

Furthest move

0.06%

Confidence

95%

43% of the forecast distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 184 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-21 16:30 UTC

Price

30,368.32

Forecasted level

30,330.87

Distance

0.12%

Furthest move

0.02%

Confidence

96%

15% of the forecast distance

How this was counted

Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Nasdaq 100 forecasts, opened between 14 and 22 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 22 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See the latest Nasdaq 100 forecasts

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Nasdaq 100, 14 to 22 September

Confidence, and what it was worth

Both directions

By duration

Day by day

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

How this was counted

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