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Reports September 22, 2026 | 7 min read

By the Kunkafa team

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Ethereum, 2 to 22 September

A Kunkafa performance review: eighteen days of AI market analysis and forecasts on Ethereum at 95% confidence and above, every forecast measured by how far the Ethereum price actually went toward the level it named.

Every Ethereum forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Ethereum price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Tuesday 22 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 25,774 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more32.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.0%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level21.8%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.5%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.8%
  8. went under 25%4.5%
of the forecasted distance
        

25,774 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above25,774 forecasts
        
32.9%300%+
11.9%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
21.8%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%144,566 forecasts
        
16.7%300%+
11.9%200–300%
28.6%125–200%
29.0%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%131,399 forecasts
        
10.3%300%+
8.5%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
36.2%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%106,050 forecasts
        
11.0%300%+
7.7%200–300%
26.2%125–200%
38.5%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%98,532 forecasts
        
10.7%300%+
8.5%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
39.7%100–125%
3.4%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%100,758 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
7.5%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
41.9%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%85,445 forecasts
        
8.0%300%+
7.3%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
43.0%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%75,704 forecasts
        
7.8%300%+
7.5%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
42.6%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the eighteen days.

▲ Could rise13,191 forecasts
        
33.3%300%+
11.7%200–300%
23.6%125–200%
22.2%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall12,583 forecasts
        
32.5%300%+
12.2%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
21.4%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes8,742 forecasts
        
60.6%300%+
12.4%200–300%
10.6%125–200%
3.8%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,594 forecasts
        
36.1%300%+
20.8%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
9.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,317 forecasts
        
17.3%300%+
18.9%200–300%
34.8%125–200%
20.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours367 forecasts
        
22.9%300%+
19.9%200–300%
31.9%125–200%
12.8%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,623 forecasts
        
6.2%300%+
11.3%200–300%
37.1%125–200%
33.9%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day4,584 forecasts
        
5.5%300%+
5.6%200–300%
31.0%125–200%
49.6%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days262 forecasts
        
16.8%300%+
13.0%200–300%
34.3%125–200%
32.1%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
0.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days3,054 forecasts
        
25.0%300%+
4.5%200–300%
31.0%125–200%
38.3%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
0.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days231 forecasts
        
75.3%300%+
2.6%200–300%
5.6%125–200%
16.5%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Wednesday to Tuesday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
0
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
211
Thu 3
494
Fri 4
1,095
Sat 5
2,311
Mon 7
2,060
Tue 8
163
Wed 9
1,115
Thu 10
904
Fri 11
2,154
Sat 12
1,770
Mon 14
5,059
Tue 15
2,172
Wed 16
379
Thu 17
1,025
Fri 18
1,709
Sat 19
643
Mon 21
2,395
Tue 22
115
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 8,480 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-02 16:00 UTC
Price
2,392.31
Forecasted level
2,425.52
Distance
1.39%
Furthest move
5.78%
Confidence
95%
416% of the forecast distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,073 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC
Price
2,521.99
Forecasted level
2,487.46
Distance
1.37%
Furthest move
3.73%
Confidence
96%
272% of the forecast distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 6,187 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC
Price
2,538.11
Forecasted level
2,561.26
Distance
0.91%
Furthest move
1.39%
Confidence
95%
152% of the forecast distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 5,625 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-06 23:45 UTC
Price
2,513.22
Forecasted level
2,491.82
Distance
0.85%
Furthest move
0.92%
Confidence
95%
108% of the forecast distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 417 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 14:45 UTC
Price
2,599.48
Forecasted level
2,618.62
Distance
0.74%
Furthest move
0.65%
Confidence
95%
88% of the forecast distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 390 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-21 08:35 UTC
Price
2,698.64
Forecasted level
2,685.66
Distance
0.48%
Furthest move
0.29%
Confidence
95%
60% of the forecast distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 455 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC
Price
2,606.68
Forecasted level
2,627.57
Distance
0.80%
Furthest move
0.37%
Confidence
96%
46% of the forecast distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,147 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-04 15:00 UTC
Price
2,442.00
Forecasted level
2,425.60
Distance
0.67%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
16% of the forecast distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Ethereum forecasts, opened between 2 and 22 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 22 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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