By the Kunkafa team
Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Ethereum, 2 to 22 September
A Kunkafa performance review: eighteen days of AI market analysis and forecasts on Ethereum at 95% confidence and above, every forecast measured by how far the Ethereum price actually went toward the level it named.
Every Ethereum forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Ethereum price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Tuesday 22 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 25,774 forecasts that settled came out like this:
- went 300% or more32.9%
- went 200 to 300%11.9%
- went 125 to 200%24.0%
- went 100 to 125%, reaching the level21.8%
- went 75 to 99%1.6%
- went 50 to 75%1.5%
- went 25 to 50%1.8%
- went under 25%4.5%
25,774 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the eighteen days.
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Wednesday to Tuesday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 8,480 forecasts
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,073 forecasts
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 6,187 forecasts
100 to 125%, reached the level · 5,625 forecasts
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 417 forecasts
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 390 forecasts
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 455 forecasts
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,147 forecasts
How this was counted
- Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Ethereum forecasts, opened between 2 and 22 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
- Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 22 September.
- “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
- No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.
Keep reading
Twelve guides that go with this one, by the question you came with.